Hydro potential
Today, hydropower provides about 19% (2 650 TWh/yr)
of the world’s electricity supply.
Information received from WEC Member Committees, supplemented
by data published by The International Journal on
Hydropower & Dams, indicates that the world’s total
technically feasible hydro potential is about 14 400
TWh/yr, of which just over 8 000 TWh/yr is currently
considered to be economically feasible for development.
Installed hydro-electric generating capacity is some
692 GW, with a further 110 GW under construction (see
Tables 7.1 and 7.2).
The remaining economically exploitable potential is
about 5 400 TWh/yr: assuming the same average annual
utilisation as for the totality of existing hydro
power plants, the exploitation of this potential would
entail the construction of some 1 400 GW of hydro
capacity (twice the present installed capacity).
An investment of at least US$ 1 500 billion would
be necessary to realise such a programme. Assuming
a mean level of hydro power plant capacity in the
range of 50 MW to 100 MW, some 20 000 plants would
need to be built (very large schemes such as Three
Gorges and Itaipú will not be the norm, and it can
be anticipated that future development of hydropower
will generally follow the pattern observed in the
western countries up to the present).
In order to implement a plant construction programme
of this magnitude, a great deal of work (technical,
financial and political) would need to be accomplished
by all the players involved, particularly in Asia,
South America and Africa.
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