The inevitable increase
in energy consumption
It is easy to predict that world energy demand, and
especially that for electricity, will increase greatly
during this 21st century, not only because of demographic
pressures, but also through an improvement in living
standards in the less developed countries, which will
represent 7 billion inhabitants in 2050 (78% of the
total).
Consumption of primary energy will increase up to
threefold by the middle of this century, and the increase
will be even greater for electricity. In view of this
situation, many sources of energy will be necessary,
but for environmental reasons, a high priority should
be the development of all technically feasible potential
from clean renewable sources, especially hydropower.
Characteristics of hydropower
The most important characteristics of hydropower can
be summarised as follows:
-
its resources are widely spread
around the world. Potential exists in about 150
countries, and approximately two-thirds of the economically
feasible potential remains to be developed. This
is mostly in developing countries, where the capacity
is most urgently required;
-
it is a proven and well advanced
technology, with more than a century of experience.
Modern power plants provide extremely efficient
energy conversion;
-
it plays a major role in reducing
greenhouse gas emissions in terms of avoided generation
by fossil fuels. Hydro is a relatively small source
of atmospheric emissions compared with fossil-fired
generating options;
-
the production of peak load energy
from hydropower allows for the best use to be made
of base load power from other less flexible electricity
sources. Its fast response time can add substantially
to the reliability and quality of the electrical
system;
-
it has the lowest operating costs
and longest plant life, compared with other large-scale
generating options. Once the initial investment
has been made in the necessary civil works, the
plant life can be extended economically by relatively
cheap maintenance and periodic replacement of the
electromechanical equipment;
-
as hydro plants are often integrated
within multipurpose developments, the projects can
help to meet other fundamental human needs (for
example, irrigation for food supply, domestic and
industrial water supply, flood protection). The
reservoir water may also be used for other functions
such as fisheries, discharge regulation downstream
for navigation improvements, and recreation. Hydropower
plants can help to finance these multipurpose benefits,
as well as some environmental improvements in the
area, such as the creation of wildlife habitats;
-
the ‘fuel’ (water) is renewable,
and is not subject to fluctuations in market conditions.
Hydro can also represent energy independence for
many countries.
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