Expanding Competitive
Opportunities in Electricity Generation
Paul L. Joskow
Paul L. Joskow is a professor of
economics at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.
At least since the introduction
of state commission regulation in the decade before
World War I, followed by the expansion of federal
regulation during the 1930s, and continuing to until
very recently, the presumption has been that the
distribution, transmission, and generation of electricity
have economic characteristics that are not conducive
to effective competition. As a result, electricity
suppliers were given de facto monopoly franchises
to provide electricity to retail customers within
specific geographical areas. In return for those
exclusive franchises, electricity suppliers took
on a public utility obligation to stand ready to
provide reliable supplies of electricity to all
retail customers located within their geographical
areas at reasonable rates determined primarily by
state regulatory agencies.
Over the past several years several important changes
in the structure and regulation of the electric
power industry, particularly in the role of competing
suppliers of generation, have begun to occur. Probably
the most important changes are associated with the
growing importance of wholesale power markets, in
particular, the development of a competitive independent
generating sector made up of power supply entities
that sell power to distribution utilities for resale
without being subjected to traditional price and
entry regulations. Those entities are commonly referred
to as independent power producers or nonutility
generators.
This article reviews the current status of competitive
entry and pricing of electric generating capacity
and energy produced by nonutility generators for
resale to retail customers and discusses the state
and federal regulatory barriers that must be removed
to promote the development of efficient competitive
markets for electric generation services. The focus
is entirely on the generating segment of the electric
power industry. It should be recognized, however,
that developments affecting the transmission and
distribution of electricity have important implications
for the evolution of a competitive generation sector
and, more important, for electricity costs and reliability.
Much of the recent discussion in Washington about
promoting competition in electricity generation
has focused on reforms to the Public Utility Holding
Company Act of 1935 (PUHCA). As we shall see, however,
PUHCA is only one of several regulatory impediments
to the evolution of efficient generation markets.
Traditional Industry Structure and Regulation
In 1990 American consumers spent about $175 billion
for electricity. Over 3,000 entities distribute
electricity at retail to over 100 million customers.
But between 75 and 80 percent of the electricity
supplied is provided by over 100 independent private
investor-owned utilities. The rest is generated
or distributed by nearly 3,000 publicly or cooperatively
owned entities that vary widely in size, structure,
and ownership form. I focus on the investor-owned
utility sector of the industry here.
While investor-owned utilities vary widely in size
(no investor-owned utility accounts for more than
5 percent of the nation's generating capacity),
they share many common structural and regulatory
characteristics. The typical investor-owned utility
has traditionally been vertically integrated
into the generation, transmission, and distribution
of electricity. That is, historically, investor-owned
utilities typically owned and operated all
of the generation, transmission, and distribution
capacity required to serve the needs of their retail
customers or took a joint ownership interest
in generating facilities operated by another utility.
The retail rates charged by distribution utilities
are subject to regulation by state regulatory
commissions pursuant to state public utility statutes.
All states rely on similar accounting cost-of-service/rate-of-return
regulatory principles to set retail rates. Distribution
utilities also take on a legal obligation to provide
reliable service at regulated rates to all retail
customers located within their service territories.
Investor-owned utilities also make a variety of
wholesale transactions. Wholesale transactions are
defined as sales by one utility to another utility
for resale to retail customers. Those transactions
include sales of generating service as well as sales
of transmission service. Since the passage of the
Federal Power Act in 1935, wholesale transactions
have been regulated by the Federal Energy Regulatory
Commission (FERC, formerly the Federal Power Commission).
Historically, FERC has relied primarily on accounting
cost-of-service/rate-of-return regulatory principles
to regulate the prices one utility charges another
for generation and transmission service. This largely
reflected the fact that for many years the bulk
of wholesale transactions subject to detailed FERC
regulation involved sales by vertically integrated,
investor-owned utilities to relatively small, "captive"
unintegrated municipal and cooperative distribution
utilities over which it was argued integrated utilities
could exercise monopoly power. Developments in transmission
and coordination technology have also led to increased
interconnection between independent investor-owned
utilities and to a large increase in wholesale trade
in generating capacity and energy between integrated
utilities. This has increased the importance of
federal (FERC) regulation of wholesale transactions
that do not involve "captive" distribution customers
and has led to conflicts between state and federal
regulatory authorities. Nevertheless, wholesale
transactions subject to FERC jurisdiction account
for a relatively small fraction of the typical investor-owned
utility's costs.
It is important to remember that most operating
electric utilities are organized pursuant to state
law and are subject primarily to state regulation.
As a result, the bulk of a utility's costs are subject
to state regulation. The terms and conditions of
retail franchises are also determined by state law.
A majority of the states also require utilities
to obtain certificates of convenience and necessity
before building major new generating or transmission
capacity, and many states review utility capacity
planning procedures and actions.
There is no direct federal regulation of
entry, supply planning, or facility construction
in the electric utility industry. Unlike the case
of interstate gas pipelines, FERC has no eminent
domain authority or the ability to issue certificates
of convenience and necessity to electric power facilities.
This is true even if the public utility in question
only engages in wholesale transactions. FERC's authority
is limited to the regulation of rates and related
terms and conditions for interstate wholesale transactions,
data-filing requirements, the establishment of a
uniform system of accounts, and approvals of mergers
between electric utilities. But FERC's ratemaking
procedures have important implications for the structure
of the industry because they affect the terms and
conditions upon which wholesale suppliers of electricity
would be able to sell electricity if they found
a willing buyer and chose to enter the market.
Many electric utilities are organized within a
holding company structure. A holding company may
include one or more operating public utility affiliates,
as defined under the Federal Power Act, as well
as nonutility affiliates. Under the Federal Power
Act, any entity that sells power at wholesale for
resale to ultimate customers is a public utility
whether or not it sells power directly to retail
customers. PUHCA made public utility holding companies
subject to a variety of regulations administered
by the Securities and Exchange Commission. PUHCA
was passed in response to a variety of financial
and regulatory abuses that holding companies were
accused of during the 1930s. The act is structured,
in conjunction with the Federal Power Act, to fill
regulatory "gaps" that may exist when holding companies
own operating utilities in more than one state,
to guard against beggar-thy-neighbor state policies
that may be applied to multistate holding companies,
and to limit the formation of multistate holding
companies to situations where it can be demonstrated
that the holding company promotes the efficient
operation of a single, integrated, multistate utility
system.
Holding companies owning electric utilities that
operate primarily within a single state are typically
exempt from the regulatory requirements of PUHCA.
These "exempt" holding companies are often subject
to state holding company regulations, however, and
for our purposes are no different from a "simple"
investor-owned utility that is not structured as
a holding company. Exempt holding companies account
for nearly 50 percent of investor-owned utility
generating capacity. Public utility holding companies
that own electric utility affiliates in two or more
states (multistate or registered holding companies),
however, are subject to a variety of onerous restrictions
regarding their organizational structure, financing
arrangements, affiliate transactions, and the lines
of business they can enter. The SEC and FERC typically
play a joint role with regard to cost allocation
and intracompany transactions for multistate holding
companies. There are only nine registered electric
utility holding companies subject to PUHCA regulation.
They account for roughly 15 percent of the nation's
electric generating capacity. They are primarily
descendants of pre-PUHCA holding companies that
were able to satisfy PUHCA's system integration
requirements.
Truly unintegrated wholesale generating companies
owning and operating power plants built to serve
the needs of independent distribution utilities
were virtually nonexistent before the mid-1980s.
Neither state nor federal regulatory policies have
traditionally contemplated, let alone encouraged,
their development until recently.
The PURPA Revolution
In November 1978 Congress enacted the Public Utility
Regulatory Policy Act (PURPA). Among other things,
PURPA requires utilities to purchase power from
qualifying cogeneration and small power production
facilities (referred to generally as "qualifying
generation facilities") and to provide them with
supplemental and backup service at "nondiscriminatory"
rates. PURPA exempted qualifying generation facilities
from PUHCA and directed FERC to issue rules defining
the specific criteria an independent supplier had
to meet to be a qualifying generation facility and
rules specifying the methods for determining rates
at which utilities would be obligated to purchase
power from them and to provide backup and supplemental
services to them.
In 1980 FERC issued rules specifying how the relevant
prices were to be determined. The general principle
incorporated in the 1980 rules is that the price
a utility is obligated to pay a qualifying generation
facility should reflect the costs that the utility
avoids (the "avoided cost principle") by purchasing
from an independent supplier compared with the best
alternative available to the utility to meet its
load. Thus, qualifying generation facility suppliers
are not themselves subject to price, profit, or
cost-of-service regulation as they would otherwise
have been if FERC had applied traditional cost-of-service
regulatory principles as it had to other wholesale
transactions subject to regulation under the Federal
Power Act. Given price and nonprice provisions specified
in the contracts, the qualifying generation facility's
financial performance depends entirely on its ability
to control costs and deliver electricity efficiently.
FERC largely left it to the states to specify exactly
how they would implement this principle.
While the administration of PURPA by the states
has not been without some significant problems,
the overall experience has been quite favorable.
Roughly 45,000 Mw of nonutility generating capacity
(5 percent of the nation's generating capacity,
equivalent to forty nuclear power plants) is now
operating in the United States. Another 40,000 to
60,000 Mw of nonutility generating capacity, including
both capacity that satisfies PURPA's restrictions
and independent power producers' capacity that does
not, is in various stages of construction and development.
Offers made by nonutility generators to individual
utilities to supply electricity to them under long-term
contracts routinely exceed, by five to ten times,
the utility's stated capacity needs. In 1990 additions
of nonutility generating capacity exceeded additions
of traditional regulated utility generating capacity
for the first time. It is possible that nonutility
generators can satisfy a large share of the projected
100,000 Mw of new generating capacity the United
States will need over the next decade. More than
100 firms have become active as developers, owners,
and operators of qualifying generation facilities.
Entrants include subsidiaries of electric and gas
utilities, manufacturing firms, construction firms,
electrical equipment vendors, and independent developers
who offer to build generating facilities around
the country (and increasingly internationally).
Utilities are now expected to look carefully at
nonutility generating capacity to meet their incremental
generating capacity needs and not simply to assume
that they will build or own new generating capacity
themselves.
It is clear that if the price and regulatory conditions
are right, third-party suppliers are willing to
enter the market to supply electricity to utilities
pursuant to long-term contracts that allocate construction
costs and operating risks to the sellers rather
than to the utilities' customers. Many of these
suppliers have been able to supply at a price less
than the utility buyer's estimate of its own supply
costs. Once operating, cogenerators in particular
appear to have excellent availability records. We
have also learned that the costs and benefits of
encouraging more reliance on third-party independent
suppliers depend critically on the regulatory rules
and procedures governing the terms and conditions
of contracts.
Building on PURPA to Expand Efficiently Competitive
Opportunities
Although PURPA was originally passed primarily
as an energy conservation initiative, it has served
to open the way for competitive entry into the generation
and bulk power markets. We can build on the PURPA
experience to expand competitive opportunities in
generation if we remove regulatory barriers to efficient
pricing, procurement, and organizational arrangements
for nonutility generators. In what follows I shall
refer to two types of nonutility generators: qualifying
generation facilities, which are qualifying facilities
under PURPA, and independent power producers, which
are not qualifying generation facilities and, as
a result, are subject to rate regulation under the
Federal Power Act.
While the experience with nonutility generators
to date is promising, there are still a number of
unresolved questions about the future role of competing
nonutility generation suppliers and how they can
effectively be integrated into the electric power
system to provide cheaper power for customers. How
can utilities best solicit, evaluate, and contract
for power from third parties? How can utility-owned
and third-party nonutility generators be effectively
compared and integrated from a planning and operating
perspective in a way that takes account of differences
in the allocation of risks associated with nonutility
and utility-owned generating capacity? Can efficient
and credible long-term contractual arrangements
be developed for fully dispatchable generating facilities?
What regulatory barriers to the entry of efficient
suppliers of bulk power services exist and how can
they best be removed?
The fact that there are still issues to be resolved
does not imply that we should not move forward to
remove regulatory barriers to the expansion of competitive
generation markets. The traditional system has proven
to be less than perfect, and the limited experience
with independent suppliers, when a suitable regulatory
environment is established, has yielded promising
results. Even if we make some mistakes on the margin,
they need not be fatal and are potentially reversible.
We can build on what we have learned from the PURPA
experience to move forward to remove barriers to
competing nonutility generation suppliers and to
develop mechanisms to integrate those suppliers
effectively into the system.
Removing State Regulatory Barriers
Although the debate in Washington about the evolution
of competition in the electric power industry has
focused on reforms to PUHCA and the Federal Power
Act, the evolution of competitive generation markets
depends much more on what happens at the state level.
Reforms to PUHCA and the Federal Power Act, to which
I shall turn presently, enhance competitive opportunities.
But barring a major preemption of state regulatory
authority over retail distribution franchise laws
and state retail rate regulation, which I believe
is very unlikely, in most cases (some multistate
utilities are exceptions) it will be up to the states
to ensure that the utilities subject to their jurisdiction
take advantage of those opportunities as they seek
to meet their obligations to serve retail distribution
customers economically and reliably.
To expand and exploit competitive opportunities
three kinds of changes must be made in the state
regulatory environment. First, states must implement
rules that require utilities to adopt good competitive
generation procurement programs that carefully evaluate
all reasonable competitive alternatives by considering
pricing provisions, risk allocations, project viability,
and reliability. Second, states must adopt competitive
generation procurement programs that allow all supply
sources, qualifying generation facilities, independent
power producers, and utility-owned capacity to compete
on an equivalent basis to supply a purchasing utility's
incremental supply needs. Limiting competitive supply
opportunities to qualifying generation facilities
is inefficient and anticompetitive. Third, states
must replace traditional accounting cost-of-service
retail rate regulation, as it relates to the costs
of new generating capacity, with market-based incentive
regulation mechanisms that encourage purchasing
utilities to search out and contract for the best
sources of generation without regard to ownership.
Competitive Bidding and Negotiation Systems.
As a consequence of PURPA, the states had to
develop regulations to govern utilities' acquisitions
of generating capacity and energy from qualifying
generation facilities. The states have taken two
fundamentally different approaches to regulating
this procurement. Initially, most states took a
price regulation approach to procurement. Basically,
they required utilities to make available to all
qualifying generation facilities both short- and
long-term "standard contracts" or tariffs with commission-approved
uniform price and nonprice terms and conditions.
This approach proved to be costly and inefficient.
It was very difficult to estimate the "right" market-clearing
standard contract terms and conditions that were
relevant to generating facilities with very different
economic and reliability characteristics. This approach
was also not sufficiently sensitive to uncertainties
about the supply of qualifying generation facilities'
capacity and energy and responded too slowly to
unanticipated changes in supply and demand conditions.
States that relied on the price regulation approach
generally ended up forcing utilities to contract
for excessive capacity at exorbitant prices. This
harmed ultimate customers because the regulatory
process rolled those excessive costs into retail
electricity prices.
With the approval of their state regulators, most
utilities seeking additional generating capacity
have rejected the price regulation approach in favor
of a competitive bidding or competitive negotiation
approach to procuring power from qualifying generation
facilities. Under this approach utilities identify
their incremental generating capacity needs by using
conventional planning criteria and then issue a
request for proposals for some or all these needs.
Qualifying generation facilities and in some cases
other types of suppliers are then free to make their
best offers to satisfy a portion of the needed capacity.
Rather than try to determine in advance the appropriate
market-clearing price and nonprice terms and conditions
of standard contracts, utilities and their regulators
agree on capacity needs and evaluation criteria
and then let the market determine the most attractive
supply opportunities available.
As of mid-1991 over fifty utilities (investor-owned,
publicly owned, and cooperative) have issued at
least one request for proposals for generating capacity
from qualifying generation facilities (and increasingly
other sources as well). A few utilities have now
gone through two or more rounds of bidding, evaluation,
and selection. About twenty states either have established
a bidding rule or allow utilities voluntarily to
adopt a competitive bidding system to satisfy their
obligations under PURPA. Roughly ten additional
states are now considering adopting a bidding rule.
Only two states have rejected the use of bidding,
but roughly eighteen states have done nothing on
the competitive procurement front.
The results to date from the bidding programs that
have been adopted are quite promising. As noted
earlier, offers made in response to requests for
proposals typically amount to five to ten times
the amount of capacity that the utility is seeking
to purchase. A significant fraction of the offers
have prices that are lower than the utility's estimates
of what it would cost to build and operate the capacity
itself. Although gas-fired capacity predominates,
a diverse set of generation projects in terms of
size, operating characteristics, and fuels have
been offered to utilities for sale under long-term
contracts. The incentive contracts negotiated between
the utility and the qualifying generation facilities
typically allocate most construction costs and operating
performance risks (though not fuel price risks)
to the nonutility generation supplier rather than
to the utility's customers.
All competitive bidding programs are not the same,
however. It is convenient to distinguish between
the "self-scoring procurement systems" that rely
strictly on numerical weights mechanically to evaluate
bids and to specify the provisions of final contracts
and "competitive negotiation systems" that offer
the purchasing utility more flexibility in evaluating
competing supply opportunities and negotiating contracts.
The evidence suggests that the competitive negotiation
systems are superior in bringing economical project
proposals to fruition as operating generating plants
and in effectively integrating efficient dispatchable
facilities into the purchasing utility's portfolio
of generating facilities.
Good competitive procurement programs must carefully
account for the complexities associated with project
evaluation, selection, completion, and operation.
By and large, nonutility generators offer utilities
power from facilities that have not yet been constructed
under contracts with durations of twenty to thirty
years. The projects and the proposed contractual
arrangements have many important relevant characteristics
related to price and price adjustment provisions,
risk allocation arrangements, project viability,
and dispatch. Furthermore, the value of a particular
project is not independent of the composition of
the portfolio of projects selected. Selecting a
project from those offered is just the first step
on the way to a viable operating power plant. A
contract must be negotiated between the utility
and the supplier. The supplier must obtain financing,
a variety of permits regarding the site and air
and water emissions, and fuel supply contracts.
It has become clear that good competitive generation
procurement programs cannot rely on simply choosing
the apparent lowest bidder or on mechanical numerical
formulas for evaluating competing offers. Successful
bidding and evaluation procedures require giving
the purchasing utility flexibility to evaluate competing
offers on the basis of all relevant price and nonprice
characteristics and to negotiate contractual arrangements
that keep costs low and provide good performance
incentives to the nonutility generation supplier.
Thus, the first area of reform is for the states
to adopt good competitive generation procurement
systems. Exactly where on the spectrum between rigid
self-scoring and flexible negotiation the procurement
mechanism falls depends heavily on the amount of
regulatory supervision required to ensure that the
utilities look carefully at the options that are
likely to be available to them and choose those
that would be the most attractive. Other things
equal, the less regulatory intervention in the procurement
process, the better.
Who Gets to Bid? The competitive bidding
systems that exist today were initially developed
as an alternative mechanism for utilities to meet
their obligations to purchase power from qualifying
generation facilities under PURPA. Originally, only
qualifying generation facilities could participate
in bidding programs. This meant either that qualifying
generation facilities meeting PURPA's technology,
fuel, and size restrictions got preference for serving
a utility's generation requirements or that subtle
allocations among qualifying generation facilities'
capacity, utility-owned capacity, or purchases from
other utilities in the wholesale market were made
on the basis of more informal evaluation of costs
and reliability. A few state commissions have now
either required or permitted utilities to open up
the bidding programs to include nonqualifying generation
facilities that are wholesale power producers under
the Federal Power Act and to put all of their capacity
needs up for bids.
Clearly, it makes little theoretical sense to limit
competitive power supply procurement to entities
that happen to satisfy PURPA's technology, thermal
efficiency, or fuel requirements. All this does
is shelter qualifying generation facilities from
competition and create incentives for potential
suppliers of power using standard generating technology
to distort their projects so that they can meet
FERC's criteria for becoming a qualifying cogenerator.
(These are affectionately known as "PURPA machines:')
Thus, the second area where state regulatory reform
is needed is with regard to the range of suppliers
that are eligible to compete to supply a utility's
generating capacity needs. It is essential that
states and utilities adopt competitive procurement
rules that allow "all sources" to compete, regardless
of ownership or technological characteristics, on
an equivalent basis. (Equivalent does not mean,
however, that every supplier must formally compete
simultaneously with every other supplier in a formal
bidding process.)
Including projects owned by or affiliated with
the purchasing utility as potential competitors
naturally creates a potential conflict of interest.
The easy way out of this situation is simply to
preclude distribution utilities from owning an interest
in any new generating capacity they need. The easiest
solution is not necessarily the best solution, however.
There are compelling economic and reliability considerations
that would make it extremely unwise to completely
prohibit utilities or their affiliates from owning
new generating facilities to meet the needs of their
native load customers. Existing utilities may be
in a position to supply some or all of their generation
needs more economically or reliably than third parties.
While we are gaining experience with independent
power suppliers, and this experience is reasonably
promising, it is still quite limited. In particular,
we simply have not had the opportunity to observe
how well the contractual arrangements governing
independent power producers' supply relationships
with utilities will operate over long periods of
time, how well alternative competitive procurement
systems will work, how the system will respond to
economic shocks, whether suppliers will in fact
be able to live up to their contractual promises,
and whether larger dispatchable facilities can be
integrated effectively by contract into the system.
Thus, we cannot yet conclude definitively that an
electric power system built on long-term contracts
linking distribution and transmission utilities
with thousands of independent power suppliers will
lead to the most efficient outcomes.
Even if power by contract rather than ownership
and operation does eventually prove itself to yield
equivalent or superior outcomes on average, there
are still good reasons not to preclude utilities
from owning and operating any additional generating
facilities to meet the needs of their retail customers.
First, experience in building and operating generating
facilities can be very useful to a utility in soliciting
and evaluating competing power supply arrangements
offered by third parties. Second, the threat that
a utility can build to meet its generating needs
if sufficiently attractive offers are not made available
to it will help to ensure that the procurement process
is in fact competitive and leads to both the lowest
cost for consumers and an efficient allocation of
resources to generation. Third, utilities may be
in a good position to identify existing projects
that are failing to perform effectively or proposed
ownership changes that threaten effective performance.
Providing utilities with the option to purchase
such projects could benefit consumers. Finally,
a utility that cannot build new generating facilities
may find it more difficult to attract, train, and
retain the highest quality technical personnel to
operate existing facilities efficiently and
effectively to solicit, evaluate, and monitor power
supply opportunities provided by third parties.
Incentive Regulation to Minimize Costs. I
have argued that utilities should be encouraged
to adopt competitive generation procurement procedures
and that the competition to satisfy a utility's
resource needs should be open to all potential suppliers
of generation, including the utility or its affiliates.
I have also argued that flexible procurement systems
that give the purchasing utility discretion to evaluate
and select projects are likely to be much more cost-effective
than programs that rely on extensive state regulatory
intervention in the solicitation, evaluation, and
contracting process. But to do all of this, it is
essential that there be regulatory procedures to
remove incentives utilities might have to favor
their own projects or to fail to evaluate carefully
the merits of competing supply opportunities. Traditional
cost-of-service regulation dulls and distorts incentives
for least-cost supply procurement and operation.
A key part of any strategy to expand the competitive
generation sector should include changes in traditional
state cost-of-service regulation to provide utilities
with better incentives. Therefore, it would be desirable
to create regulatory rules for the retail ratemaking
treatment of costs associated with new power supplies
that provide positive incentives for utilities to
evaluate all supply options on an equal footing
without regard to ownership. Such a regulatory system
ideally would make it possible to maximize the flexibility
that utilities have to negotiate bilateral contracts
with diverse suppliers and to minimize direct regulatory
intervention into the structure of the contracts
negotiated between utilities and third-party suppliers.
There are a variety of specific changes in regulatory
procedures that would change incentives in the appropriate
way. But the fundamental principle associated with
any specific regulatory mechanism is the same: the
compensation that the utility receives for providing
generation services must be fully or partially decoupled
from the actual costs the utility incurs. At the
extreme, state commissions could develop benchmark
prices for new generating capacity and associated
energy, based on data from the wholesale generation
market, and base utility compensation entirely on
those benchmarks. In this way the compensation a
utility receives would be completely independent
of whether it adds new capacity that it owns or
buys from third parties. Under this type of "market
yardstick" regulatory mechanism the purchasing utility
would have strong incentives to choose the most
economical supply sources, regardless of who happened
to own a particular generation source.
Generation markets may not yet be robust enough
and the resource needs of individual utilities may
be too idiosyncratic to rely entirely on simple
price benchmarks drawn from market data. In that
case it would make sense to adjust traditional cost-of-service
compensation arrangements so that they partially
decouple compensation from actual costs by adopting
an incentive regulatory mechanism that forces the
utility to bear a profit penalty or receive a profit
reward based on the difference between the actual
costs the utility incurs and relevant wholesale
market price benchmarks.
State commissions have not recognized that getting
utilities to look to third parties and to make good
procurement decisions requires changes in the regulatory
environment that encourage utilities to pursue the
most economical supply alternatives. It is about
time that such changes are made.
The Unfortunate Tendency toward Central Planning
and Taxation by Regulation. Rather than adopt
an incentive regulatory mechanism that will allow
utility procurement from all types of competing
suppliers to proceed smoothly with a minimum of
government regulation, several states have moved
in the opposite direction. Ironically, the movement
toward competitive generation procurement is being
overwhelmed by increasing state utility commission
intervention in the planning, solicitation, evaluation,
and procurement of new supply sources under the
banner of something called "integrated resource
management." Several states have required utilities
to adopt complex and time-consuming integrated resource
management processes that go well beyond what is
conceivably necessary to ensure that utilities make
least-cost procurement decisions. They often require
including subsidies for electricity conservation
as if conservation were a "supply source" and increasingly
require the application of a variety of "adders"
and "subtractors" to different types of projects
to reflect real or imagined externalities in the
evaluation of new resource options.
Integrated resource management is just a fancy
name for central planning by state public utility
commissions. For reasons that are difficult to understand,
these state central planning initiatives are being
encouraged by the Bush administration's Department
of Energy. Indeed, the secretary of energy has put
his personal stamp of approval on these central
planning approaches, apparently learning nothing
from the experience in Eastern Europe and the former
Soviet Union. Such developments are rapidly turning
the competitive procurement process into a feeding
trough for special interest groups, which arc using
the "golden goose" of the regulated distribution
utility as a tax and subsidy mechanism for their
benefit. They are turning the promise of cheaper
power from competition into a cruel hoax through
which special interests have been able to capture
state regulatory agencies so that competitive generation
procurement processes are distorted to make electricity
as expensive as possible. This must stop if the
consumer benefits that lie at the heart of the movement
toward competition are to be realized.
Federal Regulatory Barriers
The most important federal regulatory barriers
to the expansion of competitive generation markets
are regulatory rules governing the pricing of wholesale
power under the Federal Power Act and organizational,
ownership, and financing restrictions under PUHCA.
FERC has gone a long way toward removing Federal
Power Act barriers to competitive pricing for nonutility
generators. Further progress can be made without
new legislation. Organizational and ownership restrictions
mandated by PUHCA can only be removed by new legislation,
however.
Price Regulation under the Federal Power Act.
Ideally, we would like a utility to be able
to turn to the most economical supply sources, whether
they are qualifying generation facilities, independent
power producers that are not qualifying generation
facilities, excess capacity and energy available
from other integrated electric utilities, or internal
utility production. Any wholesale supplier that
is not a qualifying generation facility under PURPA,
however, is subject to rate regulation under the
Federal Power Act rather than under PURPA. While
the Federal Power Act does not appear to mandate
cost-of-service/rate-of-return regulation, that
is the principle that has guided regulation of long-term
wholesale power contracts for the past fifty years.
As a result, nonutility generators that are not
qualifying generation facilities faced the prospect
of ex post accounting cost-of-service regulation
by FERC. This regulatory pricing approach is inconsistent
with the efficient development of competitive power
markets.
To encourage nonqualifying generation facilities
to supply unintegrated or partially integrated utilities
under contracts with a wide range of risk/reward
characteristics, the Federal Power Act's regulations
regarding wholesale power contracts must be reformed.
In particular, the terms and conditions of contracts
governing the sale of power by independent nonqualifying
generation facilities will have to be structured
in much the same way as are the contracts that govern
utility purchases from qualifying generation facilities.
That is, the prices at which those entities sell
power to utilities cannot be based on traditional
cost-of-service principles, as they would be under
traditional FERC ratemaking procedures.
Over the past two or three years FERC has made
very significant progress in developing "market-based"
pricing rules for nonutility generators that are
subject to regulation under the Federal Power Act
through a series of rulings on applications by independent
power producers for "market-based rates." Pursuant
to those rulings, FERC will approve wholesale contracts
that do not satisfy traditional cost-of-service
criteria in situations where it is unlikely that
the seller is in a position to charge prices that
are excessive either by exercising conventional
market power or by exploiting imperfections in the
regulatory process. FERC has also been concerned
that independent power producers that are utility
affiliates not be able to distort the generation
market through cross subsidization of unregulated
(nonutility generator) affiliates by improperly
allocating nonutility-generator-related costs to
the utility affiliate and its customers. Several
criteria can be gleaned from FERC's decisions in
this area.
- Nonutility generators that are unaffiliated
with either the purchasing utility or any other
utility can readily get market-based rates approved
as long as the buyer can show that it has used
a procurement system that makes a reasonable effort
to identify and evaluate competitive alternatives
and a "sufficient" number of competing supply
options are available to it.
- Nonutility generators that are affiliated with
a utility but make sales to another utility remote
from the location of their utility affiliate can
get essentially the same treatment by demonstrating
that they have a cost-accounting system in place
that precludes cross subsidization of the unregulated
nonutility generator subsidiary by the regulated
utility subsidiary.
- Nonutility generators that are affiliated with
a utility but make sales to another proximate
utility must meet all of the above criteria and
must show that they have not used their control
over transmission to restrict competition. As
a practical matter, FERC requires such utilities
to file acceptable "open access" transmission
policies to obtain approval for market-based rates.
- A utility can get market-based pricing treatment
for sales made to an affiliate only if
it can meet stringent criteria demonstrating that
it has not charged its affiliate excessive prices.
The specific criteria are still evolving, but
it appears that market-based pricing will be approved
only if the utility can demonstrate that the price
meets or beats arm's-length market benchmarks
or that other unaffiliated buyers enter into similar
contracts with the same supplier.
- FERC has also allowed nonutility generators
to cost-justify their contracts by using what
can best be described as an expected cost criterion
using the terms and conditions of the power supply
contracts and information on the nonutility generator's
expected construction and operating costs. Although
FERC has not formally recognized it, this approach
creates a cost-based incentive regulation system
that is far superior to traditional ex post accounting
cost-of-service regulation. This approach should
prove to be especially useful for dealing with
affiliate transactions or sales by a utility or
utility affiliate to proximate utilities where
market power concerns have not been resolved.
FERC has made quite a bit of progress defining
ratemaking rules that largely eliminate Federal
Power Act regulation as a barrier to entry of independent
power producers. It is time for FERC to codify the
policies enunciated in individual cases into a set
of rules and filing requirements to remove residual
uncertainties regarding its policies toward independent
power producers. FERC needs to develop clearer rules
to govern affiliate transactions and to better harmonize
state and federal regulatory responsibilities in
this area. FERC has also been excessively cautious
about extending market-based pricing to more conventional
wholesale transactions between utilities in situations
where sellers are unlikely to have significant market
power. For reasons that are a complete mystery,
FERC has retreated from its very productive efforts
in the early 1980s to expand market-based pricing
of wholesale power generally. This retreat appears
to be based on the erroneous assumption that the
mere ownership of transmission lines confers market
power in relevant bulk power markets. Rather than
assume that all utilities have market power, FERC
should apply accepted antitrust principles to measure
market power. Furthermore, FERC must recognize that
definitive proof of a complete absence of market
power is the wrong criterion for evaluating flexible
pricing proposals. Instead, it is appropriate to
balance the imperfections of markets against the
imperfections of regulation to find policies that
improve the allocation of resources even if the
results are not completely identical to what would
emerge in a hypothetical, perfectly competitive
market.
Reforming the Public Utility Holding Company
Act. The Public Utility Holding Company Act
of 1935 creates another federal regulatory barrier
to the development of an independent power producers'
segment of wholesale power markets. PUHCA became
law at the same time as the Federal Power Act. It
was passed primarily in response to a variety of
regulatory and financial abuses by public utility
holding companies that occurred in the 1920s and
1930s.
The provisions of PUHCA are complex, and I shall
provide only a cursory summary of its most relevant
provisions. Under PUHCA any corporation or trust
owning 10 percent or more of the stock of a gas
or electric company must register as a public utility
holding company under the act and become subject
to regulation by the Securities and Exchange Commission.
Exemptions have been granted to holding companies
that are primarily intrastate in character, holding
companies that are predominantly operating public
utility companies, and holding companies that are
primarily nonutility companies and only incidentally
public utility holding companies. PURPA provides
an exemption for qualifying generation facility
subsidiaries as well.
If a utility holding company cannot obtain an exemption,
it becomes subject to a variety of regulatory restrictions
administered by the SEC. For example, the utility
subsidiaries of an interstate public utility holding
company must operate as a single, integrated system
(that is, the holding company could not own independent
power producers remote from its retail service territories).
In addition, the SEC regulates transfers of goods
and services between subsidiaries (for example,
a fuel or service subsidiary). The SEC generally
requires that such transfers be made "at cost."
Another restriction limits the holding company to
engaging only in activities that are directly related
to the provision of electricity. In addition, a
public utility holding company cannot own both electric
and gas utilities (that is, a gas utility holding
company cannot own independent power producers).
The SEC must approve all mergers and acquisitions
and grants such approval only if the acquisition
will tend towards the economic and efficient development
of an integrated public utility system. Finally
the SEC must approve the issuance of securities
by holding company subsidiaries and regulate the
financial structure of the holding company
PUHCA impedes the entry of many independent power
producers as potentially efficient suppliers of
generating capacity. The system integration provisions
could keep existing registered holding companies
from competing to supply nonqualifying facility
generating capacity in areas of the country remote
from their service territories. Some of those companies
have demonstrated superior performance in building
and operating generating facilities. They should
be encouraged to offer their expertise more widely
than in their own service areas. Public utilities
that are exempt holding companies under PUHCA (accounting
for almost half of U.S. generating capacity) due
to the intrastate character of their utility operations,
would lose their exemptions if they formed independent
power producing subsidiaries that owned generating
facilities to provide wholesale power to utilities
in a state other than the one in which they currently
operate. Once they became registered holding companies,
they would be precluded from owning generating facilities
that are not part of a single, integrated system,
so that they would have to spin off the independent
power producing subsidiary that made them subject
to registration under the act in the first place
(a real catch-22). Nonutilities that are holding
companies or that sought to create a wholesale generation
subsidiary within a holding company framework would
become public utility holding companies and might
have to spin off their other businesses to conform
with the act. Overall, PUHCA represents a formidable,
but not insurmountable, constraint on the entry
of independent power producers because it requires
relying on complex ownership arrangements to avoid
triggering the regulatory requirements of the act.
Independent power producers' projects have been
able to get around the restrictions in PUHCA by
relying on complex financial arrangements that limit
ownership and control. These arrangements increase
costs by constraining the ability of independent
power producers' owners to rely on the most efficient
ownership, organizational, and financial arrangements.
There is no reason why PUHCA cannot be amended
to remove unnecessary barriers to the efficient
entry of independent power producers without compromising
any necessary regulatory protections that PUHCA
still provides. For independent power producers
that do not have any gas or electric utility subsidiaries,
the obvious solution is simply to exempt such entities
from PUHCA. Since such entities have no utility
affiliates that would raise concerns about cross
subsidization or affiliate transactions, there is
no reason for them to be subject to PUHCA at all.
Other state and federal securities laws can adequately
protect the public from the kinds of fraudulent
financial arrangements that partially motivated
PUHCA in 1935. The self-interest of utility buyers,
combined with state and federal regulatory supervision
of generation procurement, can continue to protect
utility customers from entering into contracts for
power from independent power producers' projects
that are not financially sound.
Removing PUHCA's barriers for independent power
producer subsidiaries that are affiliates of utilities
at least superficially raises potentially more significant
issues related to cross subsidization, abusive affiliate
transactions, and the financial stability of holding
company structures. But state utility regulations,
state laws governing holding companies, and the
Federal Power Act provide more than adequate protection
to guard against such abuses. FERC has already demonstrated
that it will use its authority under the Federal
Power Act carefully to scrutinize affiliate transactions
and cost allocations between regulated and unregulated
affiliates. In the case of exempt holding companies
that have utility affiliates primarily in a single
state, state laws exist or can be passed to provide
for the regulation of cost allocations, financing
arrangements, and procurement policies for both
the holding company and its utility subsidiaries.
All that needs to be done here is to amend PUHCA
so that exempt holding companies do not become subject
to PUHCA merely because they have a controlling
interest in one or more independent power producers
outside the state where the utility subsidiary does
business. Multistate holding companies can already
set up independent power producer subsidiaries and
sell power to third parties subject to the regulatory
scrutiny of the SEC and FERC. Providing reasonable
opportunities for them to compete simply requires
relaxing the system integration requirements so
that multistate holding companies can have independent
power producer subsidiaries remote from their service
areas and offering more financing flexibility so
that they can compete with other independent power
producers.
Thus, "the PUHCA problem" can be solved with relatively
simple legislation with the following provisions.
Entities that do not have any utility affiliates
would simply be exempt from PUHCA. Exempt utility
holding companies would not trigger PUHCA regulation
merely as a consequence of having ownership interests
in independent power producers. State and FERC regulations
of costs and rates would apply as they do now. Multistate
utilities would not trigger the system integration
requirements of PUHCA merely as a consequence of
owning independent power producers remote from their
service areas. They would also be given additional
financial flexibility for independent power producer
projects with continuing SEC and FERC supervision
of financing arrangements and corporate structures,
cost allocation, and rates.
Several bills have been introduced in Congress
to amend PUHCA along these lines. While the proposed
amendments are controversial, as this is written,
broad support appears to be emerging for some type
of PUHCA reform. The primary issue is how much additional
electricity-related legislation will be appended
to the modest PUHCA reforms that are actually necessary
to remove unnecessary barriers to competition. Proponents
of transmission access and pricing reforms have
tied PUHCA reform to new transmission legislation.
The debate about PUHCA reform has also triggered
debates about a variety of other electricity issues
including state versus federal regulatory jurisdiction,
regional regulation, and least-cost planning. None
of these additional reform proposals is necessary
for the kind of surgical PUHCA reform that I have
outlined to help to promote competition in generation.
Some of the proposed reforms may be desirable in
their own right. Others are not. It would be a shame,
however, to hold PUHCA reform hostage to other electricity
policy issues that can be, and probably should be,
addressed separately.
Conclusions
A thriving competitive market for generating service
provided by generating companies that are not subject
to traditional price and entry regulation has emerged
in the United States. Increased competitive opportunities
in generation promise to reduce electricity costs
and foster reliance on a more diverse set of generating
alternatives. The further development of this market
requires significant regulatory changes at the state
level. It also requires continuing the process of
reforming federal rate regulation of wholesale power
transactions Legislation is needed to remove barriers
to competition created by PUHCA. Absent a complete
set of regulatory and statutory reforms that clearly
recognize a state and federal policy commitment
to promoting competition where it works well compared
with regulation, the evolution of competitive generation
markets will be unnecessarily constrained to the
disadvantage of consumers and the economy.
| Selected Readings
Joskow, P.L. "Regulatory Failure, Regulatory
Reform, and Structural Change in the Electric
Power Industry:" Brookings Papers on Economic
Activity: Microeconomics (1989).
Joskow, P.L. "The Evolution of an Independent
Power Sector and Competitive Procurement of
New Generating Capacity:" Research in Law
and Economics. Greenwich, Conn.: JAI Press,
1991.
Tenenbaum B.W and Henderson, J.S. "The History
of Market-Based Pricing." Electricity Journal,
Vol. 4 (1991).
|
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